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Really serious recessions such as the Great Depression, and the recent Global Financial Crisis, are not identified exclusively by quantitative (statistical) means but due to a combination of factors allegorically similar to an airplane crash.  According to the TV program Air Crash Investigators, an airplane crash does not occur due to one problematical incident, but to a series of incidents that separately are normally incapable of bringing down a plane, but when combined, will create a crash.

For the really major recessions such as the Great Depression of the early 20th century and the Great Recession 2007-9 (forming part of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-12), multiple factors come into play including both statistical and qualitative elements.  The qualitative factors (based upon evaluation) are unusual and therefore identifiable (qualitatively) in advance, and so can be used to determine which short-listed future periods based on statistical methods are most likely associated with a recession.

I chose the recessions[1] for the USA in this research as it was during the research period (1791-2014) that the USA became the premiere economic world superpower establishing itself as the Pisces-Aquarius age empire similar to Rome one age ago. The research was primarily based upon examining the starting point for each recession down to the 15 month nano-age level to discover any pattern that ‘triggered’ the recession.  In the period investigated there were 45 micro-age decans (of approximately 5 years each) and 180 nano-ages (of approximately 15 months each)

General Results

Something quiet profound occurred after the Great Depression.  There was a 74 years gap between the Great Depression and the recent Global Financial Crisis (GFC), but in the 74 years period prior to the Great Depression, there were 10 large recessions.  Also, the small recessions since the Second World War are further apart compared to the period before the Great Depression.

The recent GFC suggests that something went spectacularly wrong in the lead up to the GFC that allowed the re-emergence of a major recession after 74 years of relative economic stability.  The stricter banking regulations post Great Depression appeared to have worked, but the major problem that created the GFC was the emergence of a shadow banking system that sat outside of the banking regulations, yet these shadow banks acted like banks and needed to be rescued like banks.  Such shadow banks included Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.

Because these shadow 21st century banks were not regulated like banks, this cauldron of quasi-banks basically brewed a monster and created the largest economic crisis since the Great Depression while governments failed to keep their eyes on the ball, and in the USA President Clinton willingly and stupidly fostered the revocation of these controls.  Adopting the precepts of extreme capitalism, many governments around the world including the USA virtually gave the markets enough rope to hang themselves – which they did.[2]  This is called free enterprise.

Statistical Research Results

For the period concerned, there were 46 recessions spread across 45 micro-age decans of (approx.) five years each and 180 nano-ages of (approx.) 15 months each.  The basic structure of the sub-periods of the astrological ages is that each astrological age of approximately 2150 years has 12 sub-ages (of 178-9 years) that also contain 12 micro-ages (of approximately 15 years).  Each micro-age has 12 nano-ages of approximately 15 months each. All these periods can also be divided into three producing age-decans, sub-age decans, micro-age decans and nano-age decans. These periods lead into a following period of the same length and the following period is labelled by “overflow”.  Therefore after the Scorpio sub-age (1791-1970) is the Scorpio sub-age overflow (1970-2148). All periods work in pairs, for example the period 1970 to 2148 is both the Scorpio sub-age overflow and Libra sub-age, and archetypal associations of both these signs will manifest in the period 1970 to 2148 .

Another perspective of the structure of ages and all sub-periods are the quasi periods.  Any period plus its overflow defines the base of a bell-curve.  The middle or upper 50% of the bell curve is the quasi period.  For example, in the case of the Scorpio sub-age (1791-1970) and the Scorpio sub-age overflow (1970-2148), the base of the whole Scorpio sub-age and overflow is 1791-2148.  The middle 50% is the period 1881 – 2019.  This period represents the peak expression of the wider Scorpio period and is called the Scorpio quasi sub-age.

As another example, the Pisces age is 732 BC to 1433 ADD and is followed by the Pisces age overflow (1433-3574) which is also the age of Aquarius.  The Pisces quasi age is 352 AD to 2503 AD.  Though the world has been in the Age of Aquarius since 1433, the strongest sign in the world is Pisces as the world remains in the Pisces quasi age until 2503.  If you require assistance in understanding these sub-periods employed within the astrological ages, see “The Age of Aquarius for Dummies”.

The following are the key indicators associated with recessions:

All Recessions

  • Scorpio and Aquarius quasi micro-ages are more likely than not to produce both a large or small recession
  • Gemini nano-ages seem to be the most attracted to any type of recession
  • Taurus nano-ages are the most adverse to precipitate any type of recession

Large Recessions

  • commenced in every Gemini quasi micro-age decan
  • avoided commencing in the Aries, Cancer and Sagittarius quasi micro-age decans
  • avoided commencing in the Cancer, Scorpio and Taurus nano-ages
  • Water nano-ages are the most under-represented in large recession
  • Mutable nano-ages account for 56% of all major recessions
  • Every large recession from the 1882-85 recession onwards has commenced in a Mutable nano-age

Small Recessions

  • have very strong relationships (100%) with Fire quasi micro-age decans
  • avoid Pisces quasi micro-ages decans.
  • Scorpio nano-ages are the greatest small recession attractor
  • Water nano-ages are over-represented in small recessions

Backward Compatibility

The probability associated with the three forms of micro-age decans and two forms of nano-age decan were collated which produced a score for each nano-age from 1791 to 2014.  Every large recession in this period had a score of zero or more strongly suggesting that this score process is relevant. In every period with a negative score, no major recession occurred.  Similar clarity was not found when examining small recessions.

Applying the same approach used above, but directed towards future periods, utilizing predictability scores of zero or more as a signature for large recessions, can only produce a short list of possibilities (see Table 1).

From To QMAD Nano-Age Mut Score
12 2014 3 2016 Cancer Taurus -4
3 2016 6 2017 Aries -4
6 2017 9 2018 Aquarius Pisces -1
9 2018 12 2019 Aquarius -1
12 2019 3 2021 Capricorn 3
3 2021 6 2022 Sagittarius * 5
6 2022 8 2023 Libra Scorpio -1
8 2023 11 2024 Libra 2
11 2024 2 2026 Virgo * 3
2 2026 5 2027 Leo 2
5 2027 8 2028 Gemini Cancer 1
8 2028 11 2029 Gemini * 6
11 2029 2 2031 Aries -2
2 2031 5 2032 Pisces * 0
5 2032 7 2033 Capricorn Aquarius 0
7 2033 10 2034 Capricorn 0
10 2034 1 2036 Sagittarius * 1
1 2036 4 2037 Scorpio -2
4 2037 7 2038 Virgo Libra 0
7 2038 10 2039 Virgo * 1
10 2039 1 2041 Leo -2
1 2041 4 2042 Cancer -5
4 2042 6 2043 Taurus Gemini -1
6 2043 9 2044 Taurus -5

Table 1 – Predictions of large recessions for the Gemini and Taurus micro-ages covering the period December 2014 to September 2044 with the ‘Mut’ column flagging Mutable nano-ages (with a positive score) which have the highest of all probabilities of commencing a large recession

It is extremely unlikely that all the flagged (*) periods in Table 1 will produce a major recession taking into account the track record from the end of the Great Depression to the GFC indicating that large recessions have become a rarity.  This may change if government regulations post-GFC proves to be inadequate or the world is entering a more volatile economic period.

Applying the above methodology to small recessions produces unreliable results and it is not a practical approach to apply any quantitative statistical insights gained from examining small recessions as a predictive tool despite the evidence of some patterns.  In general, statistically derived astrological patterns are like the dripping faucet in Chaos Theory.  In Chaos Theory, researchers found patterns virtually everywhere (which ultimately supports the hypothesis of astrology).  One experiment with a leaking water faucet found that the time delay between each drip could never be predicted, but when it did occur, it would fall into a pattern of say one of eight distinct time frames rather than spread evenly through all possible time frames.

In the case of economic recessions, statistical evidence of astrological patterns cannot predict when the next major recession may appear, but when it does, it most likely will conform to an existing pattern.  Despite statistical research being incapable of being an exact tool for prediction purposes, in this situation anyway, it is certainly useful for supplying a short list of possibilities.  The only way to evaluate these short-listed possibilities is by qualitative methods.  The best way to approach qualitative assessment is by examining previous large recessions to look for qualitative patterns or coincidences that are outside the scope of statistical analysis.  I am limiting this to the last two significant economic recessions as they form two classic examples of the astrological dynamics of economic recessions.

CASE STUDIES

The Great Depression

The October 29, 1929 Wall Street crash occurred inside a Virgo quasi micro-age decan (April 1928-Mar 1933) but for major events, it is also prudent to note other relevant larger periods for contextual purposes. The Great Depression occurred in a Capricorn micro-age (Oct 1925 – Aug 1940).  The Capricorn micro-age alone suggests a subdued and dour influence.  However Virgo is the key sign.  The Virgo quasi micro-age decan (1928-1933) corresponds tightly to the drop in US GDP approaching 1930 as indicated in the following graph.

Economic Slump of the Great Depression

There have been four Virgo quasi micro-age decans since 1791 and an economic recession or problem has been associated with most of them.  First there was the Panic of 1819 followed by the 1822-23 recession (a small recession) in one Virgo quasi micro-age decans.  In the next Virgo quasi micro-age decans were the Panic of 1873 and the Long Depression.  The third Virgo quasi micro-age decans produced the Great Depression and the exception to the rule was the last Virgo quasi micro-age decans (Oct 1982 – September 1987) but this did include Black Monday on 19th October 1987 which sits in the orb or uncertainty of the cusps of these periods.  The major stock market crash did occur in the associated Virgo micro-age decan overflow

It has already been noted that Mutable quasi micro-age decans (Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces as a group) in 44% of their appearance are associated with a major recession (longer than 1.5 years).  However, the key factor with the Great Depression was an outside factor altogether.

The major Pisces sub-age decan and overflow (1851- 1910 -1970) was at its greatest strength between 1910 and 1940.  Pisces traditionally is associated with economic bubbles.  Furthermore, while a sub-age decan appears every 60 years, this is the strongest sub-age decan of all due to the Pisces quasi-age (352 AD – 2503) being the absolutely strongest sign in the world in this timeframe.  Its strongest half is 1433 to 2503.  The Pisces sub-age decan and overflow (1851- 1910 -1970) was supercharged by the Pisces quasi age.

This major period of Pisces resonance is also the key factor in both world wars and the rise of the USA as the new world Pisces super power.  The first half of the 20th century was an abnormal and highly volatile 50 years due to the Pisces resonance, and nothing like this will be experienced again for around another 700 years.

From the astrological perspective, the Great Depression was a ‘set-up’.  The Great Depression was created by this super-charged Pisces influence which indicates that delusion, deception and lack of clarity were dominant and this mass delusion produced a massive economic bubble was the chief factor behind the Great Depression.  It is the greatest example the world has ever experienced of pigs competing for the trough of easy money.  Virgo is the sign opposite Pisces, so when the Virgo quasi micro-age decan (April 1928 – March 1933) arrived, it was just a matter of time for reality to stick its head above water to announce that “the king has no clothes”.

A key component in understanding the reasons behind the arrival of an economic recession is to understand the circumstances leading to the crash.  The Great Depression was not caused by the Virgo quasi micro-age decan but the incredibly powerful 60 years Pisces sub-age decan promoting economic bubbles assisted by mob delusion.  Virgo is one of two reality signs that restore clarity as Virgo is opposite in nature to its opposite sign Pisces.

 The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) 

I take the GFC to have commenced as the Great Recession (2007 – 2009) but globally lasted until 2012, a period of 5 years corresponding to the Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (2007-12).  Like the Great Depression, the key instigating component here is Pisces, but a much milder Pisces.  The Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (2007-12) was preceded by a Pisces quasi micro-age decan (2002-07) and Pisces, given the opportunity, brings economic bubbles.

Furthermore the GFC occurred in a Cancer micro-age (2000-14) and commenced with the Cancer quasi micro-age (Jul 2007 – Jun 2022) aligned to the sub-prime market associated with (Cancer) real estate.  This time, the reality sign Virgo was replaced by the harsh-reality sign of Scorpio. Scorpio is opposite Taurus, the sign of money, and so under Scorpio, anything related to money is at a disadvantage or vulnerable.  Furthermore, Scorpio rules derivatives (due to their leverage aspect), and loans.

Similar to the Great Depression, the GFC was powered by a much stronger energy than mere quasi micro-age decans. The Scorpio quasi-micro-age decan was sitting under the Scorpio sub-age and overflow (1791-1970-2148) in its most potent period (1970-2059).  The Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (2007-12) resonated with the larger Scorpio sub-age overflow.  The potency however of the resonating Scorpio associated with the GFC is an echelon below the Great Depression.  It also placed the emphasis on the different side.  In the case of the Great Depression, resonance supported the massive Pisces bubble that was created whereas in the GFC, resonance enhanced the Scorpio reality correction after a much smaller Pisces period that the Great Depression.  However, even this smaller Pisces period still resonates and is empowered by the dominant Pisces quasi age.

The previous Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (Nov 67 – Nov 72) experienced only a small recession – the Recession of 1969-70 but reading between the lines, this recession followed a depressed period that commenced around 1966 but was serious by 1968.  The start of the economic slump was in the Scorpio micro-age decan (Jun 65 – May 1970).

The Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (Jul 1898 – Jun 1903) followed a dynamic Aries period (both micro-age and quasi micro-age decan) and consequently saw two major recessions in the one period plus the Panic of 1901 that lasted three years due to another Scorpio feature that spooked the markets – the assassination of  President McKinley in 1901, coupled with a severe drought.

The Scorpio quasi micro-age decan (Jan 1844 – Dec 1848) also experienced two small recessions including the Panic of 1847.  This Scorpio period also followed a Pisces period.  Scorpio is a dangerous sign for the economy if it is out of control (ie influenced by Pisces).

Conclusion

Based on the above evidence, I conjecture that for the appearance of major depressions or super-recessions, resonance is required.  Without resonance, just normal mild cyclical recessions or downturns are experienced.  There are no equivalent periods of resonance in the rest of the 21st century and the only period that stands out will not be until 2089 at the peak of the 60 year Aquarius sub-age decan which resonates with the Age of Aquarius.

PREDICTIONS

Referring to Table 1, there are two flagged nano-ages that survive the requirements of both quantitative and qualitative assessments – the Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022) and the Gemini nano-age (Aug 2028 – Nov 2029).  I will only examine the first of these two possibilities at this point of time.

Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022)

The Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022) is the last nano-age of the Aquarius quasi micro-age decan (Jun 2017 – June 2022).  It must be remembered that Mutable nano-ages account for 56% of all major recessions and every large recession from the 1882-85 recession onward has commenced in a Mutable nano-age.  However the secret key aspect here is anti-resonance.

The greatest and longest bull market of all time occurred appropriately in the Leo micro-age (1985 – 2000).  From October 1987 until the early peak of 2000, stock values increased nearly seven times.[3]  The key to this situation is that the Aquarius quasi-micro-age decan (Jun 2017 – June 2022) ‘opposes’ Leo and thus the outstanding economic performance experienced under Leo.  This is called anti-resonance.

The Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022) is the only Mutable nano-age in the Aquarius quasi micro-age decan and thus the most likely time-frame for a major downturn as Aquarius has the ability to squash any vestige of the Leo micro-age bull market.  However, placed in context, this would have to be at least one if not two echelons below the gravity of the 2007-12 GFC.

Under the influence of an Aquarius quasi-micro-age decan (Jun 2017 – June 2022), which includes the above Sagittarius nano-age at its end, the world may succumb to a low level depressed economic period that experiences a number of shocks, or at least one large unexpected shock.  First there is a Pisces nano-age and overflow (Jun 2017 – Sep 2018 – Dec 2019) which may breed a mini bubble, especially in the middle half of this period, as Pisces is the key bubble sign.

Superficially, it may seem strange that the Sagittarius nano-age may breed a recession as this seems to go against the grain for expansive and positive Sagittarius, but the Sagittarius nano-age is overshadowed by the concordant Capricorn nano-age overflow – the bad news sign.  The only thing sitting between the Pisces bubble and dour Capricorn is the powerful Aquarius nano-age combined with the end of the more powerful Aquarius micro-age decan (Dec 2014- Dec 2019) when it goes into its more powerful overflow mode.  This period may also include a preliminary downward economic shock as is the nature of Aquarius.

The Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022), which is also the same period of time as the Capricorn nano-age overflow, is sitting like a bullseye as it has all the hallmarks of a small recession.  It follows a mini bubble, it is under the influence of a relatively strong Aquarius quasi nano-age, an anti-business sign due to its opposition to Leo and any Capricorn period brings bad news.

It should be noted that each recession will affect various sectors in each country, and each country or region differently, depending upon the signs involved.  For example, the recent GFC had a very minor impact upon Australia compared to most other countries in the Developed World, but Australia is having a difficult economic time post-GFC due to plummeting iron prices.  The GFC was also precipitated by the collapse of (Cancer) real estate bonds appropriate for the Cancer micro-age and micro-age decan in effect.

With the next recession expected within the Aquarius quasi micro-age decan (sitting within the Gemini micro-age), it should be expected that there is an involvement of both Aquarius and possibly Gemini archetypes in this economic downturn.  Aquarius could manifest solely as a shock, a sudden and unexpected loss of confidence or collapse without involving any further Aquarius archetypes.  However, the key Aquarius archetype I will speculate upon is “the future”.  The world is at the beginning of a multi-century economic downturn and the reality of this possibility may become more obvious to the economic pundits around the world. (see All Good Things Must Come to an End ).

Gemini may intrude in the increasing extreme climate instability due to the massive environmental degradation of the world in the form of tornadoes, cyclones and hurricanes becoming even more massive, frequent and destructive (see Windmills, Windmills Everywhere ).  The other key associations to Gemini include media and cities.  Perhaps the final collapse of print media takes its economic toll?  Perhaps online media such as FaceBook or Google succumb to a new economic challenge?  One or more major cities (ruled by Gemini) are destroyed by either natural or man-made causes?  The massive cost required by deteriorating environments of cities significantly subdues the economy due to the necessity of higher taxes to fund the solutions?

There is some time up our sleeves to work out the fine print for my economic prediction for a reasonable economic recession in the Sagittarius nano-age (Mar 2021 – Jun 2022).  Based on the GFC, the next recession may start coming into focus in mid-2017 onward as the Aquarius quasi micro-age decan comes online.  Additional focus should be provided by the end of the Aquarius micro-age leading into the Aquarius micro-age decan overflow in December 2019.  The mound from whence the economic recession of 2021 or 2022 is precipitated should come into focus at one or both of these important cusps.

References:

[1] List of recessions in the United States. Wikipedia, Retrieved February 21, 2015, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States&oldid=647085853

[2] Great Recession, Wikipedia, Retrieved February 22, 2015, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Great_Recession&oldid=647636105

[3] Laurent Belsie, “Bull markets: how this one stacks up in history”, The Christian Science Monitor, 4 May 2013, http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2013/0504/Bull-markets-how-this-one-stacks-up-in-history/1987-2000-582-percent-gain

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